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Lessons from the past: Familial aggregation analysis of fatal pandemic influenza (Spanish flu) in Iceland in 1918

Identifieur interne : 001242 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001241; suivant : 001243

Lessons from the past: Familial aggregation analysis of fatal pandemic influenza (Spanish flu) in Iceland in 1918

Auteurs : Magnús Gottfredsson [Islande] ; Bjarni V. Halld Rsson [Islande] ; Stefán J Nsson [Islande] ; Már Kristjánsson [Islande] ; Kristleifur Kristjánsson [Islande] ; Karl G. Kristinsson [Islande] ; Arthur Löve [Islande] ; Thorsteinn Blöndal [Islande] ; Cécile Viboud [États-Unis] ; Sverrir Thorvaldsson [Islande] ; Agnar Helgason [Islande] ; Jeffrey R. Gulcher [Islande] ; Kári Stefánsson [Islande] ; Ingileif J Nsd Ttir [Islande]

Source :

RBID : PMC:2234133

Abstract

The pandemic influenza of 1918 (Spanish flu) killed 21–50 million people globally, including in Iceland, where the characteristics and spread of the epidemic were well documented. It has been postulated that genetic host factors may have contributed to this high mortality. We identified 455 individuals who died of the Spanish flu in Iceland during a 6-week period during the winter of 1918, representing >92% of all fatal domestic cases mentioned by historical accounts. The highest case fatality proportion was 2.8%, and peak excess mortality was 162/100,000/week. Fatality proportions were highest among infants, young adults, and the elderly. A genealogical database was used to study relatedness and relative risk (RR) of the fatal influenza victims and relatives of their unaffected mates. The significance of these RR computations was assessed by drawing samples randomly from the genealogical database matched for age, sex, and geographical distribution. Familial aggregation of fatalities was seen, with RRs for death ranging from 3.75 for first-degree relatives (P < 0.0001) to 1.82 (P = 0.005), 1.12 (P = 0.252), and 1.47 (P = 0.0001) for second- to fourth-degree relatives of fatal influenza victims, respectively. The RRs within the families of unaffected mates of fatal influenza victims were 2.95 (P < 0.0001), 1.27 (P = 0.267), 1.35 (P = 0.04), and 1.42 (P = 0.001), for first- to fourth-degree relatives, respectively. In conclusion, the risk of death from the Spanish flu was similar within families of patients who succumbed to the illness and within families of their mates who survived. Our data do not provide conclusive evidence for the role of genetic factors in susceptibility to the Spanish flu.


Url:
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0707659105
PubMed: 18216264
PubMed Central: 2234133


Affiliations:


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<title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Lessons from the past: Familial aggregation analysis of fatal pandemic influenza (Spanish flu) in Iceland in 1918</title>
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<name sortKey="Gottfredsson, Magnus" sort="Gottfredsson, Magnus" uniqKey="Gottfredsson M" first="Magnús" last="Gottfredsson">Magnús Gottfredsson</name>
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<nlm:aff id="aff1">*Landspitali University Hospital, 108 Reykjavik, Iceland;</nlm:aff>
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<name sortKey="Halld Rsson, Bjarni V" sort="Halld Rsson, Bjarni V" uniqKey="Halld Rsson B" first="Bjarni V." last="Halld Rsson">Bjarni V. Halld Rsson</name>
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<name sortKey="J Nsson, Stefan" sort="J Nsson, Stefan" uniqKey="J Nsson S" first="Stefán" last="J Nsson">Stefán J Nsson</name>
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<name sortKey="Kristjansson, Mar" sort="Kristjansson, Mar" uniqKey="Kristjansson M" first="Már" last="Kristjánsson">Már Kristjánsson</name>
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<name sortKey="Kristjansson, Kristleifur" sort="Kristjansson, Kristleifur" uniqKey="Kristjansson K" first="Kristleifur" last="Kristjánsson">Kristleifur Kristjánsson</name>
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<name sortKey="Blondal, Thorsteinn" sort="Blondal, Thorsteinn" uniqKey="Blondal T" first="Thorsteinn" last="Blöndal">Thorsteinn Blöndal</name>
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<name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name>
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<name sortKey="Gulcher, Jeffrey R" sort="Gulcher, Jeffrey R" uniqKey="Gulcher J" first="Jeffrey R." last="Gulcher">Jeffrey R. Gulcher</name>
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<name sortKey="Stefansson, Kari" sort="Stefansson, Kari" uniqKey="Stefansson K" first="Kári" last="Stefánsson">Kári Stefánsson</name>
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<nlm:aff id="aff2">Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, 101 Reykjavik, Iceland;</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Islande</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, 101 Reykjavik</wicri:regionArea>
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<nlm:aff id="aff2">Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, 101 Reykjavik, Iceland;</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Islande</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, 101 Reykjavik</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>101 Reykjavik</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
<affiliation wicri:level="1">
<nlm:aff wicri:cut="; and" id="aff3">deCODE Genetics, 101 Reykjavik, Iceland</nlm:aff>
<country xml:lang="fr">Islande</country>
<wicri:regionArea>deCODE Genetics, 101 Reykjavik</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>101 Reykjavik</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series>
<title level="j">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America</title>
<idno type="ISSN">0027-8424</idno>
<idno type="eISSN">1091-6490</idno>
<imprint>
<date when="2008">2008</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc>
<textClass></textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>The pandemic influenza of 1918 (Spanish flu) killed 21–50 million people globally, including in Iceland, where the characteristics and spread of the epidemic were well documented. It has been postulated that genetic host factors may have contributed to this high mortality. We identified 455 individuals who died of the Spanish flu in Iceland during a 6-week period during the winter of 1918, representing >92% of all fatal domestic cases mentioned by historical accounts. The highest case fatality proportion was 2.8%, and peak excess mortality was 162/100,000/week. Fatality proportions were highest among infants, young adults, and the elderly. A genealogical database was used to study relatedness and relative risk (RR) of the fatal influenza victims and relatives of their unaffected mates. The significance of these RR computations was assessed by drawing samples randomly from the genealogical database matched for age, sex, and geographical distribution. Familial aggregation of fatalities was seen, with RRs for death ranging from 3.75 for first-degree relatives (
<italic>P</italic>
< 0.0001) to 1.82 (
<italic>P</italic>
= 0.005), 1.12 (
<italic>P</italic>
= 0.252), and 1.47 (
<italic>P</italic>
= 0.0001) for second- to fourth-degree relatives of fatal influenza victims, respectively. The RRs within the families of unaffected mates of fatal influenza victims were 2.95 (
<italic>P</italic>
< 0.0001), 1.27 (
<italic>P</italic>
= 0.267), 1.35 (
<italic>P</italic>
= 0.04), and 1.42 (
<italic>P</italic>
= 0.001), for first- to fourth-degree relatives, respectively. In conclusion, the risk of death from the Spanish flu was similar within families of patients who succumbed to the illness and within families of their mates who survived. Our data do not provide conclusive evidence for the role of genetic factors in susceptibility to the Spanish flu.</p>
</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<affiliations>
<list>
<country>
<li>Islande</li>
<li>États-Unis</li>
</country>
<region>
<li>Maryland</li>
</region>
</list>
<tree>
<country name="Islande">
<noRegion>
<name sortKey="Gottfredsson, Magnus" sort="Gottfredsson, Magnus" uniqKey="Gottfredsson M" first="Magnús" last="Gottfredsson">Magnús Gottfredsson</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Blondal, Thorsteinn" sort="Blondal, Thorsteinn" uniqKey="Blondal T" first="Thorsteinn" last="Blöndal">Thorsteinn Blöndal</name>
<name sortKey="Gottfredsson, Magnus" sort="Gottfredsson, Magnus" uniqKey="Gottfredsson M" first="Magnús" last="Gottfredsson">Magnús Gottfredsson</name>
<name sortKey="Gulcher, Jeffrey R" sort="Gulcher, Jeffrey R" uniqKey="Gulcher J" first="Jeffrey R." last="Gulcher">Jeffrey R. Gulcher</name>
<name sortKey="Halld Rsson, Bjarni V" sort="Halld Rsson, Bjarni V" uniqKey="Halld Rsson B" first="Bjarni V." last="Halld Rsson">Bjarni V. Halld Rsson</name>
<name sortKey="Helgason, Agnar" sort="Helgason, Agnar" uniqKey="Helgason A" first="Agnar" last="Helgason">Agnar Helgason</name>
<name sortKey="Helgason, Agnar" sort="Helgason, Agnar" uniqKey="Helgason A" first="Agnar" last="Helgason">Agnar Helgason</name>
<name sortKey="J Nsd Ttir, Ingileif" sort="J Nsd Ttir, Ingileif" uniqKey="J Nsd Ttir I" first="Ingileif" last="J Nsd Ttir">Ingileif J Nsd Ttir</name>
<name sortKey="J Nsd Ttir, Ingileif" sort="J Nsd Ttir, Ingileif" uniqKey="J Nsd Ttir I" first="Ingileif" last="J Nsd Ttir">Ingileif J Nsd Ttir</name>
<name sortKey="J Nsd Ttir, Ingileif" sort="J Nsd Ttir, Ingileif" uniqKey="J Nsd Ttir I" first="Ingileif" last="J Nsd Ttir">Ingileif J Nsd Ttir</name>
<name sortKey="J Nsson, Stefan" sort="J Nsson, Stefan" uniqKey="J Nsson S" first="Stefán" last="J Nsson">Stefán J Nsson</name>
<name sortKey="Kristinsson, Karl G" sort="Kristinsson, Karl G" uniqKey="Kristinsson K" first="Karl G." last="Kristinsson">Karl G. Kristinsson</name>
<name sortKey="Kristinsson, Karl G" sort="Kristinsson, Karl G" uniqKey="Kristinsson K" first="Karl G." last="Kristinsson">Karl G. Kristinsson</name>
<name sortKey="Kristjansson, Kristleifur" sort="Kristjansson, Kristleifur" uniqKey="Kristjansson K" first="Kristleifur" last="Kristjánsson">Kristleifur Kristjánsson</name>
<name sortKey="Kristjansson, Mar" sort="Kristjansson, Mar" uniqKey="Kristjansson M" first="Már" last="Kristjánsson">Már Kristjánsson</name>
<name sortKey="Love, Arthur" sort="Love, Arthur" uniqKey="Love A" first="Arthur" last="Löve">Arthur Löve</name>
<name sortKey="Love, Arthur" sort="Love, Arthur" uniqKey="Love A" first="Arthur" last="Löve">Arthur Löve</name>
<name sortKey="Stefansson, Kari" sort="Stefansson, Kari" uniqKey="Stefansson K" first="Kári" last="Stefánsson">Kári Stefánsson</name>
<name sortKey="Stefansson, Kari" sort="Stefansson, Kari" uniqKey="Stefansson K" first="Kári" last="Stefánsson">Kári Stefánsson</name>
<name sortKey="Thorvaldsson, Sverrir" sort="Thorvaldsson, Sverrir" uniqKey="Thorvaldsson S" first="Sverrir" last="Thorvaldsson">Sverrir Thorvaldsson</name>
</country>
<country name="États-Unis">
<region name="Maryland">
<name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cécile" last="Viboud">Cécile Viboud</name>
</region>
</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>

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